2020 Fantasy Previews Part 29: Seattle Seahawks

The Seattle Seahawks were one of the best teams in the NFL last year. Through their first 12 games, they were looking unstoppable with a 10-2 record. They finished the season 1-3, with the last of those games being a close loss to the San Francisco 49ers in a game where the champion of the NFC West would be crowned. In the playoffs, the Seahawks had the 5 seed and made it to the divisional round where they lost to the Green Bay Packers 23-28. The Seahawks played very well for having a defense that wasn't very good. They had the 26th ranked total defense, 27th ranked pass defense, 22nd ranked rush defense, and the 22nd ranked scoring defense. What helped the Seahawks a lot was their +12 turnover margin, which ranked 4th. The Seahawks forced 32 turnovers last year, which is 2 every game. To help the Seahawks' defense, they spent the 27th overall pick on Jordyn Brooks, a very underrated linebacker from Texas Tech. They also traded for Jamal Adams, who could be the first piece to rebuilding the Legion of Doom.

Projected Depth Chart:

Quarterback: 1. Russell Wilson 2. Geno Smith

Running back: 1. Chris Carson 2. Carlos Hyde

Wide receiver: 1. Tyler Lockett 2. DK Metcalf 3. David Moore 4. John Ursua

Slot receiver: 1. Phillip Dorsett 2. Freddie Swain

Tight end: 1. Greg Olsen 2. Will Dissly

Quarterbacks - Russell Wilson has been one of the most consistent quarterbacks in the NFL of the course of his 8 year NFL career. He has played in 16 games every season, has never had below 3100 passing yards, below 61% completion, below 20 touchdowns, above 11 interceptions, below 250 rushing yards, and below 270 fantasy points. Throughout his career, Wilson has found a way to get it done without amazing targets.

In 2019, Wilson had one of the best seasons of his career. He passed for 4110 yards on 66.1% completion, 31 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. He ran 75 times for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns. Russell Wilson finished as the QB3 with 328.6 fantasy points. He did this while scoring under 15 fantasy points 4 times and under 20 10 times. Wilson scored over 24 points 5 times and rewarded fantasy owners that started him in those 5 games.

At the time I am writing this article Russell Wilson is the 6th quarterback being taken off the board in the 7th round. This is a great value for a very safe player with a high floor. Russell Wilson is one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL in real life and in fantasy. If I were to take a quarterback in the second tier, I would consider drafting Russell Wilson because of his high floor.

Running backs - Last season was the most games Chris Carson played in his whole career. He played in 15 games and had 278 carries for 1230 yards and 7 touchdowns. Carson also caught 37 passes for 266 yards and 2 touchdowns. One of Carson's biggest issues was his fumbling as he did it 7 times and lost 4 of those. Carson finished as the RB12 with 232.6 fantasy points.

The Seahawks were concerned about Carson's durability and picked up Carlos Hyde from free agency from the Houston Texans. He played the role of the early-down back as he had 245 carries for 1070 yards and 6 touchdowns. This was good for the RB30 with 153.2 fantasy points. This is not good for someone who had almost 250 carries. The only player lower than Hyde in fantasy points last year that had more carries was Sony Michel. Michel had 2 more carries and 0.6 fewer fantasy points.

I am staying far away from the Seahawks' backfield this year because all of them have problems. Chris Carson is going in the third round and that is way too high for someone who hasn't finished a season since high school and could split carries with Carlos Hyde. Carlos Hyde and Rashaad Penny are both going undrafted. Hyde would be a decent stash but was not very good considering the volume he received with the Texans. Penny is a former first-round pick who keeps getting injured and I don't want to target him.

Wide receivers - The Seattle Seahawks only used 2 receivers heavily in the passing game. One of those was a freak rookie wide receiver, DK Metcalf. DK caught 58 passes on 100 targets for 900 yards and 7 touchdowns. This was good for 187.1 fantasy points and the WR33. Metcalf was a solid flex option as he had 11 or more fantasy points in 11 of his 16 games.

Tyler Lockett was the other receiver that received a decent amount of volume. He caught 82 passes on 110 targets for 1057 yards and 8 touchdowns. Lockett scored 235.2 fantasy points and was the WR13. Lockett is very comparable to Mike Evans in the way that he'll have a couple of boom games, bust games, and some in the middle. Lockett had 3 games with 26 or more fantasy points, 6 games with under 10, and 7 in between 11 and 18 points.

Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf are both being drafted around the same time in the late 4th to early 5th round. Even though Metcalf will progress take targets away from Lockett, the 4th round is good value for a player that should still get over 100 targets. Metcalf will be a breakout star this year because of his extremely rare strength and speed combination that only a select few NFL players have. It will be his second year in the offense, where players usually take huge steps forward. I am looking to target Metcalf in a lot of leagues this year as my WR2 and I have been able to get him in the 5th round in some leagues which is absurd.

Tight ends - Will Dissly finished 5 games in 2019 and was stellar in those games. He averaged 14.4 fantasy points and was on pace for 230.4. If he scored that many fantasy points, Dissly would've finished as the TE2. Dissly was also on pace for 74 receptions, 838 receiving yards, and 13 touchdowns. While the touchdowns probably wouldn't have happened, it is not out of the question for the receptions and yards.

The Seahawks signed Greg Olsen from the Carolina Panthers in free agency. In 14 games, Olsen caught 52 passes on 82 targets for 597 yards and 2 touchdowns. He scored 123.7 fantasy points and finished as the TE13. Olsen was a decent plug and play as he had 3 games with 17 or more fantasy points with his best game being where he caught 6 passes for 75 yards and 2 touchdowns.

I am avoiding this tight end situation in 2020. Both tight ends are going undrafted in all leagues and it's not hard to understand why. Olsen is on the back end of his career and probably won't produce very much as the starting tight end. If Olsen were to get hurt, Dissly could break out again if he is healthy. For now, I have Dissly as a very deep sleeper

Fantasy Analysis:

Good Value: Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett

Breakout: DK Metcalf

Very Deep Sleeper: Will Dissly

Players to Avoid: Chris Carson and Greg Olsen (Injuries)

Handcuffs: Geno Smith, Carlos Hyde, David Moore, Will Dissly

I hope you liked 2020 Fantasy Previews Part 29: Seattle Seahawks. Next up is 2020 Fantasy Previews Part 30: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Feel free to comment your thoughts on Seahawks players for fantasy 2020.

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