2020 Fantasy Previews Part 4: Buffalo Bills

Depth Chart:

Quarterback: 1. Josh Allen 2. Matt Barkley

Running back: 1. Devin Singletary 2. Zack Moss

Wide receiver: 1. Stefon Diggs 2. John Brown 3. Duke Williams 4. Isaiah McKenzie

Slot receiver 1. Cole Beasley 2. Isaiah Hodgins

Tight End: 1. Dawson Knox 2. Jason Croom

The Buffalo Bills' offense is a combination of old concepts and new concepts. Offensive Coordinator Brian Daboll doesn't have a specific scheme because his "scheme" revolves around his players' strengths. The Bills use old-school concepts to run the ball, but use newer concepts like play action, jet sweeps, and bunch formations with 2 receivers on the outside running fly routes. The Bills use a lot of 11 personnel, which is 1 running back, 3 receivers, and 1 tight end. Daboll has used like experience from teams like the New England Patriots and Alabama Crimson Tide to fix a stagnant Bills offense. Last season it seemed the offense was finally starting to click for the Bills. The Bills went 10-6 and looked like they were going to beat the Houston Texans in the playoffs, until they let them come back and win. The Bills had over 5000 yards for the first time since 2016 and showed a lot of promise. I am very excited to see what the future holds for the Buffalo Bills. If Josh Allen progresses during the offseason, this could be one of the more underrated offenses in the league.

Quarterbacks - The Buffalo Bills moved on from Tyrod Taylor after the 2017 season. They didn't get a new quarterback in free agency so it was clear they were going to get one from the draft. The Bills selected strong armed Josh Allen in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft. Allen fell to the Bills at #7 after some bad tweets he had previously made had resurfaced.

Josh Allen had a below average rookie season. He barely passed for over 2000 yards, had a 52.8% completion percentage, and a 10-12 touchdown to interception ratio. He did show a lot of promise as a runner has he had 631 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns with a 7.1 yards per carry. Allen dramatically improved in 2019. He finished as the QB7 and had just over 3000 yards, a 58.8% completion percentage, and a 20-9 touchdown to interception ratio. Allen was a great quarterback to have in fantasy because he scored over 16 points in every week but two.

I would expect more of the same from Allen this season. His completion percentage should continue to rise as he gets more and more comfortable with the offense. The Bills traded for Stefon Diggs out of Minnesota over the offseason. Diggs gives Allen a true #1 receiver to throw to, making the offense more dangerous than ever.

Running backs - After LeSean McCoy left in 2018, it was clear a new #1 running back had to be found. The Bills looked to the draft to replace him. In the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft, the Buffalo Bills took Devin Singletary out of Florida Atlantic. Singletary had the best college season for a running back I have seen in my lifetime. As a sophomore at Florida Atlantic, Singletary ran for 1918 yards and 32 touchdowns in 14 games. Singletary would've scored 396.58 PPR fantasy points in that season.

While giving up carries to Frank Gore during his rookie season, Singletary remained a great, consistent flex option. Singletary scored over 10 points in 8 of his 12 games. He finished the season with 775 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground. Singletary proved himself as a capable receiver with 29 receptions for 194 yards and 2 touchdowns. Singletary received inconsistent targets last season. He had 6 or more targets 4 times, but he had 1 or 0 targets 5 times.

Before the NFL Draft, I considered Singletary to be a great value pick around the fifth round. But now, I am not going to touch him. The Bills took Zack Moss in the third round of the draft this year. Moss will share time with Singletary in the backfield this season. Moss would be a good handcuff to take later in drafts because if Singletary goes down, he will be the workhorse.

Wide receivers - The Bills finally had a 200 fantasy point receiver for the first time since 2015, when Sammy Watkins scored 218.8 fantasy points. This shows the development in quarterback Josh Allen. It looked like John Brown was going to be a solid #1 target for Josh Allen and the first real #1 receive since 2015.

John Brown finished as the WR20 last season even though he was surprisingly consistent. He scored over 10 fantasy points in all but 2 games. John Brown caught 72 passes for 1060 yards and 6 touchdowns. The #2 receiver, Cole Beasley also had a solid season. He finished as the WR34 with 67 receptions for 778 yards and 6 touchdowns. Both Brown and Beasley had over 100 targets last season.

Over the offseason, the Bills traded for Stefon Diggs. The situation in Buffalo is very similar to the situation in Arizona. Both Brown and Beasley are back this season after having 100 targets. Diggs will likely eat in to Brown and Beasley's targets. Diggs will also eat in to the 165 targets thrown to receivers not named Cole Beasley and John Brown. Beasley is getting up there in age and will likely surrender a big chunk of his targets to Diggs. Stefon Diggs and John Brown are mild sleepers heading into the season. Diggs is going around the fifth-sixth round and Brown is going around the ninth round.

Tight Ends - Also similar to Arizona, the Bills don't really use their tight ends very much and this section won't be very long. Dawson Knox was drafted out of Ole Miss in last years NFL Draft. He played on the same team as DK Metcalf and AJ Brown. Ironically, that Ole Miss team was terrible. With no solid starting tight end on that team, it was assumed Knox would take on that role.

Dawson Knox started 10 out of the 15 games he played in last year. He finished as the TE33. On 50 targets he had 28 receptions for 388 yards and 2 touchdowns. Knox only scored above 10 points twice and had below 5 points 11 times. There are much better options at tight end this year and unless your league is super deep, do not draft him.

Fantasy Analysis:

Sleeper: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, John Brown

Bust: Devin Singletary

Deep Sleeper: Zack Moss

Staying Away From: Cole Beasley, Dawson Knox.

I hope you enjoyed 2020 Fantasy Previews Part 4: Buffalo Bills. I hope you enjoyed 2020 Fantasy Previews Part 5: Carolina Panthers will come out tomorrow or Monday. If it comes out on Monday, there will still be an article tomorrow.

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